Arsenal FC
Summary
Briefing: Arsenal FC Purpose: Tactics, match analysis, player performance, opposing team perspectives, data references, and Premier League title race updates
Key Insights
- Arteta's halftime switch was the decisive tactical error at the Etihad. Arsenal's man-to-man pressing system worked well in the first half — Arteta quickly adapted by shifting Madueke's pressing role and using Ødegaard in a hybrid press — but his halftime instruction for Martinelli to press aggressively onto Ghee created the gap City exploited for their winning goal. Martinelli's decision to press Ghee rather than track O'Reilly's run left acres of space in midfield, and O'Reilly waltzed through for the assist to Haaland. The match data backs this: City had 61% possession, 28 attacks into the area vs. Arsenal's 18, and an xG of 2.34 to Arsenal's 2.04. Arteta himself acknowledged "the two boxes" decided the game.
- "Little margins": Tactical analysis of Manchester City 2 Arsenal 1
- The Small Tactical Detail That Decided The Match (And Maybe The Title)
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Saka's return is the single most predictive variable for Arsenal's title chances. Arsenal's points-per-game drops from 2.36 to 1.64 without Saka starting — a 0.72-point differential that, projected over five remaining games, represents roughly 3.6 points, more than the current goal-difference margin separating Arsenal from City. He is also the joint-leader among English players in Europe's top-five leagues for open-play chances created (44), despite missing six Premier League games. Arteta has confirmed Saka is "probably going to be in the squad" for Newcastle. This single data point — more than any tactical adjustment — may be the deciding factor in the title race.
- Stats suggest Saka injury return will give Arsenal major boost
- Arteta says having Saka & Calafiori available is 'not enough'
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Arsenal Start PLAYOFF With City for Premier League Title | Chelsea and Spurs Are AWFUL
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Arsenal's attacker goal drought is the season's central paradox — and it's a conversion problem, not a creation problem. Since March, Arsenal have created 67 shots — more than any other Premier League team — yet Trossard has zero goals in his last 22 games, Martinelli zero in 23 Premier League games, Saka just two in 24, and Ødegaard one in 21. This disconnect between volume and output suggests the problem is individual execution quality rather than tactical setup. The Man City game crystallised it: Havertz missed a late header that would have drawn level, Eze hit the inside of the post, and Trossard's cross was headed wide. The recruitment question — £160M+ spent without landing a reliable big-game scorer — is valid, but the immediate fix is conversion rate, not personnel change.
- How Do We Approach The Final 5 Games? | Arsecast
- Why Arsenal Will STILL Win the Premier League
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The title race is a genuine knife-edge, with Arsenal holding a narrow fixture advantage. Both clubs sit on 70 points with identical +37 goal difference; City lead only on goals scored (66 vs. 63). Arsenal's remaining five opponents are all in the bottom half of the table; City face four of five opponents in the top half, including tricky away trips to Everton and Bournemouth. Opta gives Arsenal a 73% title probability. One credible analyst predicts both sides finish on 83 points with City winning on goal difference — but an alternate reading has Arsenal on 83 and City on 81. The scheduling quirk of Arsenal playing two league games (Newcastle and Fulham) before City's next league match creates a real "pressure or freedom" dynamic: win both and Arsenal could go six points clear.
- Why Arsenal Will STILL Win the Premier League
- Man City Top Of The League! Rosenior Fired, Copa Del Rey Reaction & Olise Nonchalant?
- Arsenal or Manchester City? Newcastle United fans say who they want to win Premier League
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Manchester City and Arsenal could play for the Premier League title with one goal
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The Man City match revealed that Arsenal's best XI — when fit — is legitimately title-winning quality. The lineup featuring Havertz up front, Ødegaard and Eze in the midfield, and Saka on the right was the most attacking Arteta has fielded all season and produced an xG of 2.04 against arguably the best team in the country. Havertz had four shots and ~1 xG beyond the goal itself, and his hold-up play and link-up with Ødegaard transformed Arsenal's ability to stick in the opposition half. The problem is this lineup has been unavailable for most of the crunch period. Arsenal have been outrun in just one of 33 league games — they are not physically broken — but injuries to Saka, Timber, and Ødegaard forced suboptimal selections at the worst possible time.
- Did Arsenal LOSE TITLE in Loss at Manchester City?
- Arsenal Start PLAYOFF With City for Premier League Title | Chelsea and Spurs Are AWFUL
- How Do We Approach The Final 5 Games? | Arsecast
Emerging Patterns
- Arsenal's tactical system creates binary outcomes: it either dominates or catastrophically misfires. Multiple sources converge on the same observation: when Arsenal's man-to-man press fires (as it largely did in the first half at the Etihad), they are as good as anyone in the league. But when opponents find their "spare man" — City did this by dropping pivots deep, forcing Rice to follow them and leaving space between the pressing and defensive lines — the gaps become vast. Bournemouth's Tyler Adams described explicitly how visiting teams exploit the Emirates anxiety to feed off the crowd. The pattern suggests Arteta's system is opponent-dependent in a way that requires near-perfect execution and player availability to work at the highest level, which creates fragility in the run-in.
- The Small Tactical Detail That Decided The Match (And Maybe The Title)
- Tyler Adams on Beating Arsenal, Bournemouth's European Chances, and the USMNT
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Arsenal's April struggles are a club-level pattern predating Arteta — but the tactical link to playing style is new and worth monitoring. David Ornstein notes that Arsenal's poor April form is observable across the Emery and late-Wenger eras too, suggesting something systemic beyond the current manager. But the Arsecast raises a more pointed question: Arsenal have been outrun in only one of 33 games, suggesting extreme physical output throughout the season. The injury rate among key players (Ødegaard, Saka, Timber, Calafiori all missing significant time) raises a legitimate question about whether the intensity of Arteta's high-pressing style is connected to the club's perennial fitness crises. No source has confirmed a causal link, but the correlation warrants scrutiny.
- Ornstein latest: How can Arteta reignite Arsenal?
- How Do We Approach The Final 5 Games? | Arsecast
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William Saliba Reveals Arteta's Team Message After Man City Loss
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Guardiola's public praise of Arsenal — specifically Rice's mentality — functions as both genuine respect and a warning to his own squad. Guardiola said "I love that" about Rice's post-match insistence that the title race isn't over, citing it as proof of "the Arsenal mentality." He then turned this into an explicit warning to his players that Arsenal's resilience means the race is not done. This is a notable tactical-psychological move: Guardiola is using Arsenal's fighting spirit as a motivational tool for City, which simultaneously validates Arsenal's belief and raises the stakes for City's own concentration.
- Pep Guardiola warns Man City stars over Arsenal "mentality" showcased by Declan Rice
- Pep Guardiola responds to Declan Rice title-race claim
Dissenting Views
- Prevailing view: Arsenal's best tactical lineup (Havertz up front, Ødegaard-Eze in midfield) should be the default. Dissenting view: this is a "talent over tactics" delusion that ignores Havertz's season-long finishing deficiencies. The dominant reading among Arsenal-aligned analysts is that the Man City performance proved Havertz starts, full stop. But ESPN pundits and the "Why Arsenal Must SACK Mikel Arteta" analysis make a pointed counter-argument: in the "most important game of the season," Arteta played Havertz instead of a natural striker — and Havertz missed the late header that would have drawn level. The striker brought to "play in that position" was sitting on the bench. This is a difference in emphasis rather than pure contradiction: both sides agree Havertz improved Arsenal's play; they disagree on whether his conversion rate warrants the gamble in must-win games.
- Are Real Madrid UNBALANCED with Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior? | ESPN FC
- Why Arsenal Must SACK Mikel Arteta! | Uncensored
- Did Arsenal LOSE TITLE in Loss at Manchester City?
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Prevailing view: Arsenal still win the league (Opta: 73%, easier remaining fixtures). Dissenting view: momentum and psychological pedigree now favour City. The statistical case for Arsenal remains strong: easier fixtures, playing two games before City's next league match, and Opta's probability model. But one analyst in the "Man City Top Of The League" podcast "officially flipped" to predicting City, citing psychological momentum, City's end-of-season peaking pattern, and the weight of Arsenal's recent form (four defeats in six). This is a methodological disagreement: statistical models favour Arsenal, intuition and momentum favour City. The reader should weight both — history suggests Pep's teams do peak in spring, and Arsenal's April record across multiple managers is genuinely poor.
- Why Arsenal Will STILL Win the Premier League
- Man City Top Of The League! Rosenior Fired, Copa Del Rey Reaction & Olise Nonchalant?
- City Overtake Arsenal, Roy Calls Out Carra & Chelsea's Season Collapses | Stick to Football EP 126
Read & Act
What to read:
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"Little margins": Tactical analysis of Manchester City 2 Arsenal 1 — The only source that combines verified match statistics (xG, possession, attacks into area) with both managers' direct quotes and tactical diagrams. Read this if you want to understand precisely what went wrong tactically at the Etihad, rather than relying on pundit interpretations. Arteta's quote about "the two boxes" is the clearest statement of Arsenal's tactical problem.
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The Small Tactical Detail That Decided The Match (And Maybe The Title) — The most granular breakdown available of how Arsenal's pressing adapted within the game and why the halftime change backfired specifically. Essential if you want to understand the micro-tactical story behind the macro result — particularly City's use of dropping pivots to manipulate Arsenal's man-to-man marking structure.
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How Do We Approach The Final 5 Games? | Arsecast — Contains the most comprehensive data compilation on attacker droughts, the outrun statistic, and the most honest discussion of what Arsenal's conservative tactical evolution means for the run-in. The discussion of Nwaneri's loan and Lewis-Skelly's underuse adds a dimension absent from other coverage. Also the best articulation of why the "playoff" framing is the most useful psychological lens for the remaining games.
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Did Arsenal LOSE TITLE in Loss at Manchester City? — The strongest case for "talent trumps tactics" and why a fully fit Arsenal XI is title-winning quality. The data point (3 defeats in first 49 matches, 4 in last 6) frames the collapse as a recent aberration, not a systemic flaw — an important corrective to the doom narrative.
What to do:
- Watch the Newcastle match with specific attention to Arsenal's pressing triggers and midfield positioning when out of possession. The key question from the tactical analysis is whether Arteta reverts to a more conservative press (protecting the right side, preventing the O'Reilly-style runs) or doubles down on man-to-man aggression. Newcastle's 8 losses in 11 games mean their build-up is predictable; Arsenal should be able to press effectively. But Martinelli's role — whether he tracks runners or presses aggressively — will tell you within 15 minutes whether Arteta has adjusted the halftime instruction that cost them at the Etihad.
- The Small Tactical Detail That Decided The Match (And Maybe The Title)
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"Little margins": Tactical analysis of Manchester City 2 Arsenal 1
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Track the Rice-at-6 vs. double-pivot question as a signal of Arteta's ambition for the run-in. Multiple sources propose playing Rice as the sole defensive midfielder with Ødegaard and Eze both operating as 8s — a "big club" midfield setup that Arsenal have used sparingly. If Arteta deploys this against Newcastle (a beatable opponent), it signals he's prepared to be more aggressive tactically in the remaining games. If he reverts to the double pivot of Rice and Zubimendi, expect a more conservative approach. This decision will tell you more about his tactical intentions than any press conference statement.
- Arsenal Start PLAYOFF With City for Premier League Title | Chelsea and Spurs Are AWFUL
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Confirmed Arsenal team v Newcastle United – Havertz starts, Saka on bench
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Reassess your title probability after Arsenal's next two league games, not after each individual result. The most useful analytical frame is: if Arsenal win both Newcastle and Fulham (potentially going six points clear), the Opta 73% likely understates their chances. If they drop points in either, City's psychological momentum combined with the harder fixture list makes them genuine favourites regardless of statistical models. Treat the next two weeks — including the Atletico Madrid Champions League legs — as the decisive window.
- Why Arsenal Will STILL Win the Premier League
- Arsenal Start PLAYOFF With City for Premier League Title | Chelsea and Spurs Are AWFUL
Source Articles
- "We have to digest it and move forward" | Régis Le Bris Post Forest | Post-Match Interview
- "It's important we react" | Xhaka On Forest Defeat | Post-Match Interview
- Injury Update, Season Reflections and Planning Ahead | Le Bris Press Conference: Part Two
- "The ambition in the squad is very high" | Régis Le Bris Previews Forest Test | Press Conference
- 'I’m really proud to get my first Premier League goal' | Rigg on Villa Defeat | Post-Match Interview
- 'It's a learning experience' | Le Bris on Aston Villa defeat | Post-Match Interview
- Wembley AGAIN! Will Manchester City respect flying Saints? #FACup
- New TRANSFER Blow! Bruno SLAMS Ownership! Man Utd Transfer News
- United TRANSFER Latest! NEW Manager Update! Ben Jacobs Interview!
- Man Utd STUNNED By Tchouameni Fee! Man Utd Transfer News
- United MUST Do This!
- EVERTON v LIVERPOOL | Live post-match manager reaction
- Are Real Madrid UNBALANCED with Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior? | ESPN FC
- Craig Burley on Chelsea's managerial search + Fans convinced Arsenal will BOTTLE EPL race? | ESPN FC
- Will West Ham or Tottenham avoid relegation from the Premier League? | ESPN FC Extra Time
- HOW BAD IS LAMINE YAMAL'S INJURY? Will he be ready for the World Cup?! 😧 | ESPN FC
- Are Lamine Yamal’s & Estevao’s hamstring injuries a RED FLAG? | ESPN FC
- Andoni Iraola? Frank Lampard? 🔍 Who's the BEST REPLACEMENT for Liam Rosenior at Chelsea? | ESPN FC
- ‘ROSENIOR ISN’T THE ISSUE!’ Who will Chelsea get to REPLACE Liam Rosenior 🤔 | ESPN FC
- Lamine Yamal INJURED, Liam Rosenior SACKED 🚨 + LALIGA & EPL title race implications 👀 | ESPN FC
- Pressure building to add Neymar to Brazilian team? 👀 | ESPN FC Extra Time
- LIAM ROSENIOR SACKED 🚨 Takeaways from Rosenior's short Chelsea reign | ESPN FC
- Manchester City MOMENTUM SHIFT over Arsenal in the Premier League 🤯 | ESPN FC
- Premier League race ramping up between Arsenal & Man City 🍿 + Gabriel-Haaland incident 👀 | ESPN FC
- Should Mikel Arteta remain at Arsenal if they don’t win a trophy? | ESPN FC Extra Time
- Arsenal is ‘searching for certainty that hasn’t been there for a while’ – Ale Moreno | ESPN FC
- ‘WE HAVE A TITLE RACE!’ Man City make Premier League statement vs. Arsenal | ESPN FC
- Manchester City vs. Arsenal Reaction 👀 Will Pep’s side win the Premier League? | ESPN FC
- Does Arsenal have a better chance at winning the UCL or EPL? | ESPN FC Extra Time
- Criag Burley thinks THIS could cost Arsenal and Mikel Arteta the title 👀🗣️ | ESPN FC
- The Small Tactical Detail That Decided The Match (And Maybe The Title)
- "I Enjoy Being Here!" | Michael Carrick Pre-Brentford | Press Conference 🎙️
- "A Lot Of Things To Be Proud Of" | Michael Carrick Post-Chelsea | Press Conference 🎙️
- Carrick, Heaven & Dalot React To Chelsea Victory 🗣️
- West Ham Miss Big Chance at Palace… But Here’s Why I Still Think We Stay Up
- West Ham News | Squeaky Bum Time! We MUST Win at Palace – I’m Seriously Worried | Palace v West Ham
- Rutter Says 'Xav Some of That' To Spurs! | Tottenham 2-2 Brighton | MATCH REACTION
- Ornstein latest: How can Arteta reignite Arsenal?
- EXTENDED HIGHLIGHTS | Burnley 0-1 Man City | Haaland goal sends City top of the table!
- MATCHDAY LIVE! MAN CITY IN ACTION AWAY AT BURNLEY! | Burnley v Man City | Premier League
- INSIDE CITY 521 | City defeat Arsenal!
- EXTENDED HIGHLIGHTS | Man City 2-1 Arsenal | Cherki, Havertz and Haaland Goals
- MANAGER PREVIEW! Pep Guardiola | Burnley v Man City | Premier League
- Man City 2-1 Arsenal | Cherki & Haaland score! | MATCHDAY LIVE | Premier League
- Man City v Arsenal lives up to its billing! | Rayan Cherki scores! | MATCHDAY LIVE | Premier League
- Man City take on Arsenal at the Etihad! | MATCHDAY LIVE | Premier League
- Clint Dempsey reflects on docuseries, USMNT's World Cup hopes and more
- Real Sociedad's American savior, Haji Wright's Premier League promotion
- Parker On City Defeat & Relegation | REACTION | Burnley 0-1 Man City
- Kyle Walker Speaks On Man City Clash | PREVIEW | Burnley v Manchester City
- Scott Parker Speaks To Media Ahead Of Man City | PRESS | Burnley v Manchester City
- Parker On Forest Defeat | REACTION | Nottingham Forest 4-1 Burnley
- Confirmed Arsenal team v Newcastle United – Havertz starts, Saka on bench
- Bayern Munich is pushing hard to beat Arsenal to England international
- Arsenal should win this, but…” Paul Merson predicts Arsenal v Newcastle
- Two Arsenal targets set to miss their Emirates audition for Newcastle
- How Arsenal managed to avoid a move for struggling Chelsea star
- Roy Keane and Ian Wright discuss Man City game and Odegaard
- Real Madrid is now serious about adding Arsenal man to their squad
- Perry Groves explains why Gyokeres should be benched for Newcastle game
- Pundit names the Arsenal games that could have the most effect
- Pep Guardiola recalls 2016 incident in rant over Gabriel headbutt attempt on Erling Haaland
- Wayne Rooney receives fiery response from Pep Guardiola over Arsenal celebrations
- Pep Guardiola warns Man City stars over Arsenal “mentality” showcased by Declan Rice
- Crystal Palace 0-0 West Ham | LIVE Match Reaction
- PRESS CONFERENCE | Eddie Howe pre-Arsenal (A)
- Brighton Unlocked | #70 | Mitoma's Spurs strike, Stateside visit and Chelsea victory
- POST-MATCH | Hurzeler and Georginio | Spurs v Brighton
- Manchester City will take no risks with the fitness of their midfield general
- Arteta says having Saka & Calafiori available is ‘not enough’
- Pep Guardiola responds to Declan Rice title-race claim
- Former Gunner to miss World Cup through injury
- Arsenal handed huge double injury boost for Newcastle clash
- Stats suggest Saka injury return will give Arsenal major boost
- New Mikel Merino injury update amid World Cup hopes
- What the mood around Arsenal is missing
- Are Arsenal Still a Good Bet for Top-Four Finishes?
- Arsenal boost after double Newcastle injury blow
- Key Newcastle United star suspended for Arsenal clash
- How to watch Arsenal v Newcastle United on TV this weekend
- Arsenal interested in €45m+ Sunderland 21yo
- Manchester City blow as Rodri ruled out with injury
- Ex-Arsenal forward scores 8 league goals in a row
- Atletico duo pick up injuries to put Arsenal starts in doubt
- Erling Haaland gives his view on Gabriel red card incident
- Arsene Wenger makes Arsenal Premier League title prediction
- Newcastle United set price tag for Arsenal target
- Ex-Gunner’s World Cup at risk
- Newcastle have 2 new injury doubts for Arsenal clash
- Rodri injury concern for Manchester City after Arsenal clash
- Returning injured Arsenal star gives latest on his fitness
- Mikel Arteta’s future at Arsenal made clear
- Who could leave Arsenal this summer transfer window? The key candidates
- City’s Khusanov deserved to be sent off, not Arsenal’s Gabriel say ex-referees
- Man Utd now eyeing move for £17m La Liga star to reinforce key position - report
- Chelsea showing 'serious interest' in signing exciting £21m star with 27-G/A this season - journo
- Key duo start as Arteta makes two changes | Predicted Arsenal XI vs Newcastle
- ‘He’s got great tenacity’ - Man Utd urged to sign £80m ‘top player’ with 20-G/A this season
- How Do We Approach The Final 5 Games? | Arsecast
- Man City 2-1 Arsenal Reaction | Arsecast Extra
- Man City Top Of The League! Rosenior Fired, Copa Del Rey Reaction & Olise Nonchalant?
- Arsenal Start PLAYOFF With City for Premier League Title | Chelsea and Spurs Are AWFUL
- Did Arsenal LOSE TITLE in Loss at Manchester City?
- Erling Haaland explained why his girlfriend, Isabel Haugseng Johansen, was upset after the match vs. Arsenal
- Manchester City and Arsenal could play for the Premier League title with one goal
- Haaland issues a classically blunt response to Gabriel's headbutt
- Erling Haaland sets the Premier League title race ablaze
- Arsenal Under Pressure: Title Race Slipping Away? | Premier League & FA Cup Preview
- William Saliba Reveals Arteta's Team Message After Man City Loss
- Tyler Adams on Beating Arsenal, Bournemouth's European Chances, and the USMNT's Final World Cup Prep
- Haaland Crushes Arsenal Again 💔 Spurs In Danger, Everton Still Everton | Premier League Recap
- BOURNEMOUTH SILENCE NEWCASTLE! Howe Under Pressure As Iraola's Chez March On
- REACTION: Iraola’s Bournemouth Pour MORE Misery on Newcastle United!
- "It's a Good Point Away" | Soucek, Nuno & Walker-Peters | Post Match | Crystal Palace v West Ham
- "We have to keep fighting" | POST MATCH | Unai Emery on Fulham Defeat
- "I expressed all of my emotions!" Unai Emery's post-match reaction 🗣️
- City Overtake Arsenal, Roy Calls Out Carra & Chelsea's Season Collapses | Stick to Football EP 126
- Chris Wood's Reaction 🗣️ | Sunderland 0-5 Nottingham Forest | Premier League
- "I'm So Happy!" 😁 | Vítor Pereira’s Reaction | Sunderland 0-5 Nottingham Forest | Premier League
- Sunderland preparations and Dominguez presentation 🇦🇷 | Inside Training 🎥
- "We gave it EVERYTHING" 👊 | Morgan Gibbs-White's Reaction 🗣️ | Forest 4-1 Burnley | Premier League
- Why Arsenal Must SACK Mikel Arteta! | Uncensored
- The Hidden TRUTH Behind Champions League Football! | Paddock Podcast
- 📰 TO THE WIRE | Irons miss HUGE chance as Nuno scores predicts relegation fight will go the distance
- 🚨 EARLY TEAM NEWS | Hammers have chance to make HUGE STEP towards survival at Palace tonight
- Arsenal or Manchester City? Newcastle United fans say who they want to win Premier League
- Newcastle United face fight for £26.5m
- Is a change of manager now inevitable as Newcastle United lose at home again
- Rosenior Press Conference | Brighton vs Chelsea | Premier League | 20/04/26 | CFC 25/26
- ROSENIOR reacts post-United | Chelsea 0-1 Man Utd | PL 25/26
- “A priceless point” | Daniel Farke reaction | AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United
- “I wasn’t talking about your goal” 😂 | Willy Gnonto | AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United
- Daniel Farke press conference | AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United | Premier League
- “Happy with my goal and the three points” | Noah Okafor | Leeds United 3-0 Wolves
- “Three points closer to our goal” | Daniel Farke reaction | Leeds United 3-0 Wolves
- Why Arsenal Will STILL Win the Premier League
- Andoni Iraola on Marco Rose and important Leeds United test | Premier League Press Conference
- De Zerbi’s BELIEF • Xavi Comes ALIVE • Vicario EXIT Imminent • Darlow INTEREST • Can Spurs SURVIVE!?
- Thierno Barry: A Relationship on the Brink?
- “Little margins”: Tactical analysis of Manchester City 2 Arsenal 1
- Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest | Premier League Preview - WTF Podcast
- Arsenal v Newcastle United MATCH PREVIEW!
- Newcastle United FAN FORUM! Have your SAY!
- Newcastle United 1 Bournemouth 2 MATCH REVIEW! HORRENDOUS!
- Aston Villa are on the cusp of a Champions League return
- Inevitable Ollie Watkins, penalty problem & closing in on Champions League
- How Michael Carrick Has SAVED Manchester United! | LIVE ANALYSIS |